So if you read last Monday’s Bettor’s Edge column about the most chaotic condition in racing (non-winners of two races), you might have caught the $52 horse Thursday at Woodbine and the superfecta that paid $873 for just 20 cents and the 20-cent Pick 6 that paid $6,748. The fact the race was a bottom-level $7,500 claimer increased the likelihood the race would have a chaotic result.
Just to reiterate, this racing condition is generally filled with horses that just don’t have the gameness to transition from their maiden victory to the next level and spend many races trying to make that happen. Often their maiden victory was achieved under easy circumstances in a weak field.
You might recall I said this race condition is generally an “all” leg in your horizontal pick-pools such as Pick 5s and Pick 6s. That’s about the only way you would have caught the 25-1 winner, #6 Let’s Have Fun, in race 4, a 5 ½ furlong sprint. The 5-year-old mare had registered just one win in 25 starts, the second-worst record of any horse in the race. One horse had one win in 39 starts. Yikes! But that’s what this race condition is all about.
Let’s Have Fun, ridden by one-for-13 jockey Larry Munoz, just happened to be feeling better than usual Thursday night and prevailed by a half-length after arguing for an early lead. The big favourite at 3-5, #8 Polar Appeal under leading rider Kazushi Kimura, couldn’t do better than third despite a big class drop and being in a perfect position to win.
Welcome to the wild and wacky world of the non-winners of two races condition!
You should actually look forward to that condition because it gives you an opportunity for a big score because most players try to handicap the race — which is a near impossibility especially if it’s a bottom-level claimer. Taking all nine horses in that leg of the Pick 6 still wouldn’t have cost much because three of the six legs were won by favourites. The prices of races 3 to 8 were $3.60, $52.90, $7.40, $13.90, $5.90 and $4.00.
See the race program here and watch that race here:
Keep in mind the race winner is #6 and the horse most players bet—the 3-5 favourite—is #8.
