So, can we make it three winning weeks in a row? Two weeks ago, of course, racing rules resulted in a pick-5 pickup of $1,918 for a wheel that cost you just $19.20. And last week, although the two keys in a pick-5 wheel suffered troubled trips and didn’t win, if you boxed the four horses in each of the other three legs in superfectas for $24 each, you won $170 for one superfecta and $602 for the other.

What do the rules say about tomorrow’s races 2 to 6 at Woodbine?

  • Race 2, 7-furlong non-winners of two races: Regular readers will recognize this nw2L race condition as a possible chaotic race. That means you may consider taking all horses in a pick-3 wheel for example. But this is also a 7-furlong specialist race and #2 and #4 have the highest 7-furlong speed numbers of 79 and 81 in their past performances. Note that #4 is 15-1.
  • Race 3, maiden optional claimer: The most likely winner is a class-dropper from maiden special weight and those two horses are #4 and #7. Note that #7 finished third last time in a “key” race where three horses from that race won their next starts. That’s huge. Note, too, that the trainer of #3 is hot-hot-hot with second-time two-year-olds, scoring five wins in 11 such instances.
  • Race 4, 7-furlong maiden turf allowance: #3 Periwinkle exits a stakes race where she finished third and #7 Scat Girl is the only horse who raced in a 7-furlong specialist race and had a rather troubled trip. Also, note she has the highest Tomlinson turf breeding figure of 389.
  • Race 5, 7-furlong maiden optional claimer: #4 Herethereverywhere has the lowest added-up number of 4 and has a 60 speed figure at 7 furlongs which is reasonable for two-year-olds. #3 and #5 have the next-lowest added-up numbers of 9 and also are dropping in class. Add #11 because DRF pro pick analyst Pete Shewchuk likes the first-time starter for some reason.
  • Race 6, maiden optional claimer: #1,4,5,7 have low added-up numbers and DRF’s main man at Woodbine, Ron Gierkink, likes first-time starter #9. Also, #3 (8-1) has a bullet workout after her debut in August where the filly hopped at the start, loomed four wide in the stretch and ran evenly. I love “evenly.” It means to me the horse wasn’t all-out. Watch out!

20-cent pick-5 wheel: 2/3,4,7/3,7/3,4,5,9,11/1,3,4,5,7,9 (1 x 3 x 2 x 5 x 6 = 180 divided by 5 = $36). A 20-cent pick-3 wheel in races 2 to 4, taking all horses in the often-chaotic nw2L race: ALL8/.3,4,7/3,7 (8 x 3 x 2 = 48 divided by 5 = $9.60). Think about boxing horses in triactors and superfectas, too! A 20-cent box of four horses is just $4.80. Five horses is $24.

The Breeders’ Stakes on Sunday: The three main rules to consider are (1) who has shown ability in 1 ½-mile races (2) who has best in-the-money record (3) who has quickest closing fractions in turf route races. The Breeders’ Stakes, of course, is the third leg of the Canadian Triple Crown.

~ by Ivan Bigg

Subscribe to the Canadian Throughbred newsletter and get an exclusive bonus digital edition!
Subscribe to the Canadian Thoroughbred newsletter and get an exclusive bonus digital edition!

We'll send you our regular newsletter and include you in our giveaways. PLUS, you'll receive our exclusive digital edition of Handicapping Tips for Thoroughbred Racing.

CT E-news